Translation organizations try to save their members from the painful truth facing them.

The ITI in the UK just posted on LinkedIn a link to a report of a webinar participated in by translation academics and industry leaders, purporting to answer the question of “Is translation still a worthwhile profession to enter in the age of AI?”

The ITI response to the challenge presented by translation consumers bypassing professionals in favor of AI is to emphasize the hallmarks of professionalism, as exemplified by (quoted verbatim from the ITI report):

  • holding specialist knowledge
  • holding recognized credentials
  • adhering to a code of professional conduct
  • keeping skills up to date
  • exercising independent judgement
  • placing client and public interest first
  • taking responsibility for their work

These are all laudable tenets, but stating them does not provide an answer to the question of whether translation is still a worthwhile profession to enter.

The problem faced by almost all translators, and particularly by freelancers, is that even adhering to all of the above is totally insufficient to survive. The above list makes it look like these are the keys to survival. That is totally uninformed by the real world.

This approach speaks of an attitude that is held not just by the ITI but by other translation organizations as well, including Japan Association of Translators here in Japan.

Little or no attention is given to—and they arguably actively avoid—the real-world situation in which translation is not an academic or lofty professional activity, but rather a business. Freelance translators in particular, since they are almost all dependent upon translation-brokering agencies and must operate in a two-tier food chain, will find that the above tenets are totally inadequate, since they must also move away from agencies, which have historically proven and continue to demonstrate that they are moving away from human professionals.

Acquiring direct clients is a survival strategy, but is something that translation organizations appear to want to play down or totally ignore, perhaps because they correctly realize that such a strategy is out of reach for all but a small portion of their members.

That said, I strongly believe organizations should stop pretending that all you need to do is “be professional,” and start counseling members on more realistic strategies. Those strategies do not include continuing to believe that the future lies in working for translation agencies. That business model is nearing its end.

I’ll make this short.

Although I had made some legacy writings and presentations available on the parent website, I have now removed them permanently and will be providing no further writings directed at freelance translators. Freelance translating is quickly winding down and already almost gone for most freelancers. There is nothing I can do to help translators.

If you’re a freelance translator and thinking of continuing to work for translation agencies, your chances of survivingby translating more than another year or two are extremely slim.

If you can change careers entirely or at least break away from AI-using agencies —in 2026, this means the agencies that support almost all freelancers—you might survive for a while. But most freelancers can’t break away from agencies, because of their circumstances, their preferences and personalities, or their skill sets. For them, it is over—finished, gone, and not coming back.

Emergency! Emergency! The Toolists are coming! Everybody to get from street!

Actually, they’re already here in large numbers.

Some translators continue to assert that AI can be useful to a translator as a tool to survive. And translation organizations—sadly even the ones ostensibly controlled by practitioners rather than agencies—are doing little to dissuade freelancers from this delusion.

These AI toolist translators and their organizations either don’t understand—I doubt that such stupidity is the reason—or find it too painful to admit that the long-standing structure of the translation business for freelancers effectively precludes almost all freelancers from effective survival strategies to enable them to continue translating, AI use or not, because the only clients most can acquire are already using AI to replace them. Other clients are essentially not available to most freelancers.

Specifically, although it shouldn’t even need to be mentioned at this point—go ahead and wonder why I mention it—the freelance translation world is a two-tiered brokered business, in which freelance translators don’t have (and many freelancers have enjoyed not having to have) access to and interaction with the entities that will not be using AI for at least a short while yet to replace them. Most of those entities are not in the translation business, although even they will become rarer as things progress.

Technologies introduced decades ago—I’m, of course, not talking about AI—welcomed and nurtured a population of freelance translators uniquely unsuited to survive. Remote work is one reason. That has enabled working isolated and protected from interaction with anyone who can judge qualifications and skills. Clients are allowed to believe that the translation process is a black box, although they are very often also led to believe that there are thousands of expert translators in the box, which they are not allowed to peek into.

Yet another aspect of the crisis is that the population of translators that was nurtured by technology that enabled remote work is one that is heavily populated by people who don’t like interacting with other human beings to start with. That is a death sentence in a situation where you need to develop clients other than those in the translation business, particularly those in Japan, although direct interaction with translation consumers, regardless of their location, is the best way to convince them that you’re just not another broker but an actual professional practitioner.

Faced with this environment, in-house work is arguably one survival path. That said, it most often requires being close to where the work is. Many people are not close to where the work is, and in fact may probably enjoy being distant from where the work is. Additionally, there will be not nearly enough in-house positions—and there are almost no in-house translator positions in translation companies—to satisfy people who wish to translate for a living.

The other path for people who can do it is to go back to school or somehow otherwise obtain a knowledge base and skill set that is not related to translation or language and would be the basis of a career even without translation. Translation and language alone are not going to provide a career path. That has ended, unless you wish to remain in academia and train yet more people who won’t have careers as translators waiting for them upon graduation.

In 2019, I made a substantial presentation at IJET-30 in Cairns on the theme of how to break out of the second tier, which works for translation-brokering agencies. At the time, however, I didn’t realize how prescient it was to turn out to be, now that freelancing on the second tier is no longer viable for people who want to continue translating.